{
  "title": "Asking price versus later auction result: eight VIN-matched collector vehicles",
  "checkedAt": "2026-10-26",
  "publicationStatus": "reviewed_publication_candidate_not_deployed",
  "author": "Appraisily SEO and Data Operations",
  "reviewStatus": "Sources and calculations checked by Appraisily on 2026-10-26; no independent review claimed.",
  "sampleDefinition": "Eight deliberately identified collector or specialty vehicles with an exact VIN match between a dated fixed-price Last Asking observation and the first later completed auction within 45 days.",
  "methodology": "Include only exact VIN matches, an ask date strictly before the sale date, a completed sold result in USD, and a stated fee basis. Exclude reserve-not-met results, high bids, post-sale offer floors, observations sharing one calendar date without an intraday sequence, and records without a stable identifier.",
  "temporalPrecision": {
    "ask": "calendar_date",
    "sale": "calendar_date",
    "format": "YYYY-MM-DD",
    "timeOfDayAvailable": false,
    "note": "The public sources expose calendar dates but not a reliable time of day for fixed-price observations. No clock time or timezone is inferred."
  },
  "summary": {
    "rows": 8,
    "belowAsk": 6,
    "aboveAsk": 2,
    "medianSaleToAskRatio": 0.8244,
    "medianDeltaPct": -17.56,
    "minimumDeltaPct": -55.26,
    "maximumDeltaPct": 22.72,
    "medianDaysBetween": 9.5,
    "maximumDaysBetween": 36,
    "sumAskingUsd": 383975,
    "sumRealizedUsd": 292349,
    "aggregateDeltaUsd": -91626,
    "aggregateDeltaPct": -23.86
  },
  "feeBasis": {
    "mecum": "CLASSIC.COM identifies the displayed Mecum figures as hammer prices; buyer premium is excluded.",
    "bringATrailer": "The archived result pages identify winning bids; the displayed 5% service fee, subject to the stated minimum and maximum, is additional.",
    "comparison": "Last advertised fixed-price ask versus later hammer price or winning bid; not buyer all-in cost and not seller net proceeds."
  },
  "observations": [
    {
      "item": "1960 Ford Thunderbird",
      "vin": "0Y71Y116309",
      "askDate": "2023-07-24",
      "askingUsd": 38000,
      "saleDate": "2023-07-26",
      "realizedUsd": 20000,
      "realizedBasis": "Mecum reported hammer price",
      "daysBetween": 2,
      "deltaPct": -47.37,
      "askSource": "https://www.classic.com/s/gateway-classic-cars-RWLRz4j/lots/1960-ford-thunderbird-n1w0Nqp/",
      "saleSource": "https://www.classic.com/a/mecum-harrisburg-2023-anOmJgp/lots/1960-ford-thunderbird-nOavPEp/"
    },
    {
      "item": "1972 Volvo 1800ES",
      "vin": "1836363001854",
      "askDate": "2025-01-06",
      "askingUsd": 25995,
      "saleDate": "2025-01-09",
      "realizedUsd": 31900,
      "realizedBasis": "Mecum reported hammer price",
      "daysBetween": 3,
      "deltaPct": 22.72,
      "askSource": "https://www.classic.com/veh/1972-volvo-1800es-1836363001854-nQY3GOn",
      "saleSource": "https://www.mecum.com/lots/1135826/1972-volvo-1800es/"
    },
    {
      "item": "1973 Volkswagen Beetle",
      "vin": "1132624397",
      "askDate": "2024-09-02",
      "askingUsd": 37995,
      "saleDate": "2024-09-06",
      "realizedUsd": 17000,
      "realizedBasis": "Mecum reported hammer price",
      "daysBetween": 4,
      "deltaPct": -55.26,
      "askSource": "https://www.classic.com/veh/1973-volkswagen-beetle-1132624397-nKyqxXp",
      "saleSource": "https://www.classic.com/veh/1973-volkswagen-beetle-1132624397-nKyqxXp",
      "note": "The displayed odometer reverses by nine miles; the source inconsistency is retained."
    },
    {
      "item": "1973 Volkswagen Thing",
      "vin": "1832842444",
      "askDate": "2024-08-28",
      "askingUsd": 25995,
      "saleDate": "2024-09-06",
      "realizedUsd": 25000,
      "realizedBasis": "Mecum reported hammer price",
      "daysBetween": 9,
      "deltaPct": -3.83,
      "askSource": "https://www.classic.com/veh/1973-volkswagen-thing-1832842444-p0lb3xp/",
      "saleSource": "https://www.classic.com/veh/1973-volkswagen-thing-1832842444-p0lb3xp/"
    },
    {
      "item": "1987 Dodge Lancer ES Shelby",
      "vin": "1B3BX68E3HN417278",
      "askDate": "2025-09-07",
      "askingUsd": 8000,
      "saleDate": "2025-09-17",
      "realizedUsd": 8999,
      "realizedBasis": "Bring a Trailer winning bid",
      "daysBetween": 10,
      "deltaPct": 12.49,
      "askSource": "https://www.classic.com/s/seacoast-house-of-cars-w4aAoL4/lots/1987-dodge-lancer-es-shelby-peaZK7p/",
      "saleSource": "https://bringatrailer.com/listing/1987-shelby-lancer-3/"
    },
    {
      "item": "2023 Dodge Challenger Black Ghost",
      "vin": "2C3CDZL96PH549101",
      "askDate": "2025-07-26",
      "askingUsd": 157995,
      "saleDate": "2025-08-15",
      "realizedUsd": 112750,
      "realizedBasis": "Mecum reported hammer price",
      "daysBetween": 20,
      "deltaPct": -28.64,
      "askSource": "https://www.classic.com/s/crown-classics-w4aoMWa/lots/2023-dodge-challenger-srt-hellcat-redeye-black-gho-WL8kbDW",
      "saleSource": "https://www.classic.com/a/mecum-monterey-2025-7WvMMmn/lots/2023-dodge-challenger-black-ghost-4Z2E9L4/"
    },
    {
      "item": "2009 Mini Cooper S Convertible",
      "vin": "WMWMS33539TG88849",
      "askDate": "2025-02-27",
      "askingUsd": 17995,
      "saleDate": "2025-03-22",
      "realizedUsd": 14000,
      "realizedBasis": "Bring a Trailer winning bid",
      "daysBetween": 23,
      "deltaPct": -22.20,
      "askSource": "https://www.classic.com/veh/2009-mini-convertible-cooper-s-convertible-wmwms33-p6o9l34/",
      "saleSource": "https://bringatrailer.com/listing/2009-mini-cooper-s-convertible-3-2/"
    },
    {
      "item": "1969 Chevrolet Camaro",
      "vin": "124379N634122",
      "askDate": "2025-12-06",
      "askingUsd": 72000,
      "saleDate": "2026-01-11",
      "realizedUsd": 62700,
      "realizedBasis": "Mecum reported hammer price",
      "daysBetween": 36,
      "deltaPct": -12.92,
      "askSource": "https://www.classic.com/s/gateway-classic-cars-RWLRz4j/lots/1969-chevrolet-camaro-ss-nKxyOXW/",
      "saleSource": "https://www.classic.com/a/mecum-kissimmee-2026-PnBl3Kp/lots/1969-chevrolet-camaro-custom-WbwDdPp",
      "note": "Modified vehicle and a 532-mile reading change limit a clean price-only interpretation."
    }
  ],
  "methodSources": [
    "https://support.classic.com/last-asking-price",
    "https://support.classic.com/auction-fees-and-prices",
    "https://support.classic.com/auction-data-specifications"
  ],
  "limitations": [
    "This is a deliberately found cohort, not a random sample, market index, appraisal formula, or estimate of a general discount from ask.",
    "The exact VIN match does not prove unchanged condition, documentation, title status, included accessories, legal ownership, or seller identity between observations.",
    "The comparison excludes buyer premiums, commissions, taxes, transport, registration, preparation, and seller net proceeds.",
    "Public source data can change and is not represented as an audited transaction ledger."
  ]
}